Mgbe agha Russia-Ukraine tiwapụrụ, ịrị elu nke ọnụ ahịa nri ụwa wetara mmetụta na nchekwa nri ụwa, nke mere ka ụwa ghọta nke ọma na isi ihe nchekwa nri bụ nsogbu udo na mmepe ụwa.
Na 2023/24, emetụtara ọnụ ahịa mba ụwa dị elu nke ngwaahịa ugbo, ngụkọta zuru ụwa ọnụ nke ọka na soybean ruru ọkwa dị elu ọzọ, na-eme ka ọnụ ahịa ụdị nri dị iche iche na mba ndị dabere n'ahịa mgbe ahachara mkpụrụ ọka ọhụrụ dara nke ọma.Otú ọ dị, n'ihi oké ọnụ ahịa nke nnukwu ego nke US Federal Reserve na Eshia wetara, ọnụ ahịa osikapa n'ahịa mba ụwa rịrị elu nke ukwuu iji chịkwaa ọnụ ahịa ụlọ na ịchịkwa mbupụ osikapa na India. .
Njikwa ahịa na China, India na Russia emetụtala uto mmepụta nri ha na 2024, mana n'ozuzu, mmepụta nri ụwa na 2024 nọ n'ọkwa dị elu.
Kwesịrị nlebara anya nke ukwuu, ọnụahịa ọla edo zuru ụwa ọnụ na-aga n'ihu na-akụta ihe ndekọ dị elu, ọnụ ahịa ego nke ụwa na-arịwanye elu, ọnụ ahịa nri zuru ụwa ọnụ na-enwe nrụgide elu, ozugbo mmepụta ihe na-achọ kwa afọ, ọnụ ahịa nri bụ isi nwere ike ịdaba na ndekọ dị elu. ọzọ, ya mere mkpa dị ugbu a ịṅa ntị nke ọma na mmepụta nri, iji gbochie ihe mgbagwoju anya.
Ịkụ ọka ọka n'ụwa
Na 2023/24, mpaghara ọka ụwa ga-abụ hectare 75.6, mmụba nke 0.38% karịa afọ gara aga.Ngụkọta mpụtara ruru ijeri tọn 3.234, na mkpụrụ kwa hectare bụ 4,277 kg/ha, gbagoro 2.86% na 3.26% n'afọ gara aga, n'otu n'otu.(Ngụkọta mpụtara osikapa bụ ijeri tọn 2.989, gbagoro 3.63% site na afọ gara aga.)
Na 2023/24, ọnọdụ meteorological nke ọrụ ugbo na Eshia, Europe na United States dị mma n'ozuzu, ọnụ ahịa nri dị elu na-akwado nkwalite ịnụ ọkụ n'obi ịkụ ihe nke ndị ọrụ ugbo, na-ebute mmụba na mkpụrụ nkeji na mpaghara nri ụwa.
N'ime ha, ebe a kụrụ ọka wit, ọka na osikapa na 2023/24 bụ hectare 601.5, gbadara 0.56% site na afọ gara aga;Mkpokọta mmepụta ruru ijeri tọn 2.79, mmụba nke 1.71%;Mmụba kwa mpaghara otu bụ 4638 kg/ha, mmụba nke 2.28% karịa afọ gara aga.
Mmepụta na Europe na South America gbakere ka mmiri ozuzo gasịrị na 2022;Mbelata nke mmepụta osikapa na South na South-East Asia enweela mmetụta ọjọọ doro anya na mba ndị ka na-emepe emepe.
Ọnụ ahịa nri zuru ụwa ọnụ
N'ọnwa Febụwarị 2024, ndekọ ọnụ ahịa ihe mejupụtara nri zuru ụwa ọnụ * bụ US $353 / ton, gbadata 2.70% kwa ọnwa yana 13.55% kwa afọ;Na Jenụwarị-February 2024, nkezi ọnụ ahịa nri ngwakọta zuru ụwa ọnụ bụ $357 / ton, gbadara 12.39% kwa afọ.
Kemgbe afọ ihe ọkụkụ ọhụrụ (malite na Mee), ọnụ ahịa nri zuru ụwa ọnụ adalatala, na nkezi ọnụ ahịa ngwakọta sitere na Mee ruo February bụ dollar US $ 370 / ton, gbadata 11.97% kwa afọ.N'ime ha, nkezi ọnụ ahịa ọka wit, ọka na osikapa na February bụ 353 US dollar / ton, gbadata 2.19% kwa ọnwa na 12.0% kwa afọ;Nkezi uru na Jenụwarị-February 2024 bụ $357 / ton, gbadata 12.15% kwa afọ;Nkezi maka afọ ihe ubi ọhụrụ site na Mee ruo February bụ $365 / ton, gbadara $365 / ton kwa afọ.
Ndekọ ọnụ ahịa ọka n'ozuzu ya na ọnụ ahịa nke mkpụrụ ọka atọ bụ isi dara ada nke ukwuu n'afọ ihe ubi ọhụrụ, na-egosi na ọnọdụ ọkọnọ n'ozuzu ya n'afọ ihe ubi ọhụrụ abawanyela.Ọnụ ahịa ndị dị ugbu a na-agbadata n'ọkwa ikpeazụ a hụrụ na Julaị na Ọgọst 2020, na usoro mgbada na-aga n'ihu nwere ike imetụta mmepụta nri zuru ụwa ọnụ n'afọ ọhụrụ.
Mkpokọta ọka zuru ụwa ọnụ na nguzozi chọrọ
N'afọ 2023/24, ngụkọta mpụtara osikapa mgbe osikapa gachara bụ ijeri ijeri 2.989, mmụba nke 3.63% n'afọ gara aga, mmụba nke mmepụta mere ka ọnụahịa ahụ daa nke ukwuu.
A na-atụ anya na ọnụ ọgụgụ ndị bi n'ụwa niile ga-abụ ijeri 8.026, mmụba nke 1.04% karịa afọ gara aga, na uto nke mmepụta na inye nri karịrị mmụba nke ọnụ ọgụgụ ụwa.Oriri ọka ọka zuru ụwa ọnụ bụ ijeri ijeri 2.981, na ebuka na-akwụsị kwa afọ bụ nde tọn 752, yana ihe nchekwa dị 25.7%.
Nsonaazụ onye ọ bụla bụ 372.4 kg, 1.15% dị elu karịa afọ gara aga.N'ihe banyere oriri, oriri nri bụ 157.8 kg, oriri nri bụ 136.8 kg, oriri ndị ọzọ bụ 76.9 n'arọ, na mkpokọta oriri bụ 371.5 kg.Kilogram.Ọdịda nke ọnụ ahịa ga-eme ka mmụba nke oriri ndị ọzọ, nke ga-egbochi ọnụahịa ka ọ nọgide na-adaba n'oge ikpeazụ.
Outlook mmepụta ọka zuru ụwa ọnụ
Dika ngụkọ ọnụ ahịa zuru ụwa ọnụ ugbu a si dị, ebe ịgha mkpụrụ n'ụwa n'afọ 2024 bụ hectare nde 760, ihe a na-enweta kwa hectare bụ 4,393 kg/ha, na mkpokọta ụwa bụ nde tọn 3,337.Mpụta osikapa bụ ijeri tọn 3.09, mmụba nke 3.40% karịa afọ gara aga.
Dị ka usoro mmepe nke mpaghara na mkpụrụ n'otu mpaghara nke mba ndị bụ isi n'ụwa si dị, n'afọ 2030, ebe a na-agha mkpụrụ n'ụwa ga-abụ ihe dị ka hectare 760, mkpụrụ nke otu mpaghara ga-abụ 4,748 kg / hectare, na mkpokọta ụwa. Mpụta ga-abụ ijeri tọn 3.664, dị ala karịa oge gara aga.Mmụba nke nta nke nta na China, India na Europe emela ka ọnụ ọgụgụ dị ala nke mmepụta ọka zuru ụwa ọnụ site na mpaghara.
N'afọ 2030, India, Brazil, United States na China ga-abụ ndị na-emepụta nri kachasị n'ụwa.N'afọ 2035, a na-atụ anya na mpaghara ịgha mkpụrụ n'ụwa niile ga-eru nde hectare 789, na-amịpụta 5,318 n'arọ kwa ha, yana ngụkọta mmepụta ụwa nke ijeri tọn 4.194.
Site na ọnọdụ dị ugbu a, ọ dịghị ụkọ nke ala a na-akọ n'ụwa, mana uto nke mkpụrụ otu unit na-adị ngwa ngwa, nke chọrọ nlebara anya dị ukwuu.Ịkwalite nkwalite gburugburu ebe obibi, iwulite usoro nlekọta ezi uche dị na ya, na ịkwalite ngwa sayensị na teknụzụ ọgbara ọhụrụ na ọrụ ugbo na-ekpebi nchekwa nri ụwa n'ọdịnihu.
Oge nzipu: Eprel-08-2024